Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000558 0.000637 0.000720 0.000816 0.000920 0.001032 0.001160
2025-11-16 0.000421 0.000527 0.000647 0.000793 0.000964 0.001158 0.001391
2025-11-23 0.000345 0.000460 0.000597 0.000772 0.000985 0.001235 0.001548
2025-11-30 0.000295 0.000417 0.000569 0.000768 0.001021 0.001326 0.001719
2025-12-07 0.000257 0.000383 0.000546 0.000767 0.001055 0.001413 0.001883
2025-12-14 0.000224 0.000350 0.000520 0.000758 0.001076 0.001480 0.002023
2025-12-21 0.000195 0.000320 0.000494 0.000745 0.001089 0.001536 0.002148
2025-12-28 0.000181 0.000309 0.000493 0.000765 0.001146 0.001650 0.002350
2026-01-04 0.000166 0.000296 0.000487 0.000777 0.001191 0.001747 0.002533
2026-01-11 0.000148 0.000276 0.000470 0.000770 0.001209 0.001808 0.002667
2026-01-18 0.000132 0.000257 0.000452 0.000761 0.001222 0.001862 0.002792
2026-01-25 0.000121 0.000245 0.000444 0.000767 0.001256 0.001944 0.002957
2026-02-01 0.000110 0.000232 0.000433 0.000766 0.001281 0.002016 0.003111
2026-02-08 0.000095 0.000210 0.000407 0.000741 0.001268 0.002033 0.003187
2026-02-15 0.000083 0.000193 0.000385 0.000722 0.001262 0.002058 0.003276
2026-02-22 0.000075 0.000182 0.000374 0.000718 0.001280 0.002118 0.003415
2026-03-01 0.000068 0.000172 0.000365 0.000717 0.001301 0.002183 0.003562
2026-03-08 0.000061 0.000161 0.000352 0.000708 0.001308 0.002228 0.003680
2026-03-15 0.000054 0.000149 0.000338 0.000696 0.001310 0.002262 0.003783
2026-03-22 0.000052 0.000148 0.000342 0.000715 0.001364 0.002379 0.004010
2026-03-29 0.000048 0.000144 0.000341 0.000727 0.001404 0.002475 0.004210
2026-04-05 0.000044 0.000136 0.000331 0.000720 0.001415 0.002525 0.004339
2026-04-12 0.000039 0.000127 0.000320 0.000712 0.001421 0.002567 0.004457